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The Hustler
Member
Picture of Swish
Posted
MOUSESKI won, seves me right for taking the mick.
Investor
You are right I didn't lose too much
 
Posts: 3071 | Registered: September 27, 2001Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
The Hustler
Member
Picture of Swish
Posted
Investor
I don't think that retrieval on first and second favs in small fields is exactly what VDW had in mind!!!!!!!!!!!!! Big Grin

Besides both JIB and myself have practised retrieval some 20 year ago (long before we met)

What JIB says is correct, the day WILL come when you have to put so much on that you will either chicken or lose it all.

That day might not come for a long time, perhaps months and months, but believe me (us) it will come allright.
 
Posts: 3071 | Registered: September 27, 2001Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
The Vital Spark
Member
Picture of john in brasil
Posted
BC,

Thank you for your kind words. I shall try to continue to be worthy of them.
 
Posts: 4717 | Registered: February 10, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
Turbo has obviously had the November Handicap as his target for some time, and one can be fairly certain that he is really out to win.
The only question that remains is, is he good enough?
 
Posts: 1512 | Registered: August 20, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Jedi Knight
Member
Picture of BlackCat
Posted
Hi Swish

Don’t worry. It could have gone either way. With my strike rate of 40-45%. The odds were in your favour anyway. And it gave your system another winner too!

What do we do where the fav is odds on? I think I will exclude 2nd favs when the favorite is below 5/4. and just place 1 pt on the fav. OK?

Yesterdays 5 & 6 Runner results:

-0.42

Down Royal 2.45 (5R) Macs Joy 4/7F +0.15
Fontwell 2.10 (6R) Lost –0.84
Fontwell 3.10 Mouseski (5R) –0.01

So after day 2, we’ve had 4 out of 7 win and are about break even.

General
Although I can see Swish’s point about picking two out of 5 and 6 runner races as being easy (obviously), I think the point is that the method is looking for very high strike rate opportunities, regardless of the size of field. And Investors selections won. These other races are running at 57% (admittedly only two days worth) and two of those winners were odds on.

BlackCat


__________________________________________________________
"If you don’t know where you are going, any road will get you there".
 
Posts: 1086 | Registered: May 04, 2004Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
Sat, November 6.

I looked at the most valuable race on the flat today, but found it too difficult. The selections I came up with were

Distant Prospect
Tender Falcon.

I prefer the 220 Doncaster, £19.5K Listed A1, 6f.

Even though it is a sprint!

In this, my VDW type selections are

CAPE FEAR
RUBY ROCKET
ROYAL STORM

( best at the top, imo).

This message has been edited. Last edited by: Seanrua,
 
Posts: 1514 | Registered: April 23, 2004Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
has Ellison tried a small weight compression exercise in the November Handicap?

The one he has compressed for has Fallon on.

Carte Diamond could be the winner..then again I couldn't pick my nose recently
 
Posts: 748 | Registered: October 14, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Jedi Knight
Member
Picture of BlackCat
Posted
A good day. I've picked out four I like the look of:

Don 1.20 Foreign Affairs (ev)
Don 2.20 Ruby Rocket (11/4)
Don 4.00 Sendintank (5/4)
Win 2.05 Comply or Die (4/5)

Good luck all.

BlackCat


__________________________________________________________
"If you don’t know where you are going, any road will get you there".
 
Posts: 1086 | Registered: May 04, 2004Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
The Vital Spark
Member
Picture of john in brasil
Posted
Ectoo,

You could say the same for M Johnston as well, Bendershaan being his intended winner.
 
Posts: 4717 | Registered: February 10, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Jedi Knight
Member
Picture of BlackCat
Posted
Bendershaan. Is it of interest that the jockey -J Fanning - has an 18% (46/244) strike rate riding for M. Johnson in 2004.


__________________________________________________________
"If you don’t know where you are going, any road will get you there".
 
Posts: 1086 | Registered: May 04, 2004Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
Ectoo,

I originally had Carte Diamond as my selection. but rejected him bc of weight and draw.



BC:

Snap! I've backed three of your selections ( subject to them getting matched).
 
Posts: 1514 | Registered: April 23, 2004Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
B.C
I believe Sendintank should be left to run today.There are higher class horses in the race,And imo Contact Dancer is a massive danger.That is of course my opinion,But i would certainly leave that race well alone. Smile
 
Posts: 2832 | Registered: November 28, 2001Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
mtoto, thanks for yor reply could you send me your email, thanks..do you think cape fear, ruby rocket, carte diamond as possible bets,,jabaar ew.
 
Posts: 189 | Registered: February 07, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
yes indeed JIB

worth a tickle on both
 
Posts: 748 | Registered: October 14, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
that makes up for the last month

we really need to watch these in the very big races JIB

Wink
 
Posts: 748 | Registered: October 14, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
wonder if it will work in the Badger Beer

WHITENZO is the compression reason
 
Posts: 748 | Registered: October 14, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Jedi Knight
Member
Picture of BlackCat
Posted
Ectoo and JIB: Well called. 12/1 winner and 20/1 3rd. Fantastic stuff. Cool


__________________________________________________________
"If you don’t know where you are going, any road will get you there".
 
Posts: 1086 | Registered: May 04, 2004Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
about time something went right BC Cool
 
Posts: 748 | Registered: October 14, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
on the same subject

PEROUSE & ALBUHERA get handy weights thanks to Rigmarole..both worth a go in the 3.40
 
Posts: 748 | Registered: October 14, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Member
Posted
nice day for a change Cool
 
Posts: 748 | Registered: October 14, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
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