Bio
It's the wife's mate.

Investor

Hope you and yours are well and happy.

I looked at the 3.15 Cartmel and didn't find anything so you've surprised me with Caitriona's Choice, Flahives First and Ivanoph. I think the last 2 are from a different pattern.

I would have thought Javelot D'or was closer to the mark.

If you don't mind I'll be in touch.

All the best
hedgehog

quote:

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Originally posted by Swish:
Hey! Biotechnology!
Have you pinched my pint?

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Do ya want to fight about it!LOL

Mtoto,

With regards to your email snags, I've just received an email from you dated 27 May.

Mtoto,

Do you think tintaagel was rejected on consistency?

Crock,

re tintagel


VDW said that he bought the sporting chronicle for the races to come section, this section contains the last race no etc. Do you know if it was the same format then?

Do you think that VDW could have evaluated the race from this perspective and used the form book over a couple of days and not even seen the sporting life?

Barney,

I was going through the examples try to find a race were the c/form method didn't show the selection as the bet. I only have the Sporting Life photo copy for this race, and could see no way Tintagel wouldn't be the c/form horse.

Following the logic used by Fulham I could see no way Tintagel wasn't the first c/form, and I made it hard for Connaught Bridge to be the second c/form horse. Depending on how far Senorita Poquito was beaten in her last race I would have thought she would have been a form horse.

Fulham says he isn't worried about the consistency rating. I am still sure it is an important component as so many selections were consistent.

I don't know about the rest of you, but the more I go through theses examples there are plenty of selections I wouldn't back today. I still think the Roushayd method is by far the best VDW came up with.

Chaz,

Glad you have sorted your problem, keep in touch. The e-mail problem will be sorted SOON (I hope)

Be Lucky

Bio
NO I don't want to fight about it, I want you to buy me another pint!!LOL
Better still get your own logo! I am definetly the most serious drinker on this website. Or are you?
Cheers
Swish

Why do you think the 'Roushayd Method' is different, and not an extension of what he had already said?

Johnd,

I don't like this relativity thing. With the Roushayd method the horse has proven it's self in the same, or higher class. There is no doubt it can act in the class, it isn't at times the best of a bad bunch.

Ok Desert Hero had proven it could act on the course, but as far as I can see he had never competed successfully in that class. The same can be said about many of VDW's other selections, Connaught Bridge being just one.

Hope you had a good evening at Pontefract on friday, and Boozer of course!

Be Lucky

Howdya mean Eek?

lygeton lad should win today

Thanks for the reply. Had a very good evening with Boozer, though we didn't see much racing.

BOOZER
Could you email me at johnd1@tiscali.co.uk? My usual email is down.

GREG
Right horse, wrong c/d, (IMO). Don't give up on him yet!

Boozer
Eek = Eckbalco or is it the tinnies talking?

Max If you are patent this VDW is a goldmine.Hope you were on

 NEWMARKET, 30 May 2003, 3:50, Sky Bet Vegas Classified Stakes (Class D) (3yo+,0-80),Winner £5,512.00,1m2f GD-FM, 7 Runners 

 Pagan Dance,,.......................................................Form 3-5-2  (10**)  sp lto 2/1F  Av = 8k** , Ab = 6k**   Score=7+4
 90%  94C 10f 2/½L 14rs  GF Kem  9K    (6 days)(g)   (** DIST  PLACED **)    ***DOWN in class from 9K to 5.5k, BUT chk figures
 94%  89D 10f 5/4 19rs  GS Nmk  10K    (28 days)(c)   (** DIST  Unpl)
 47%  89D 10f 3/2 13rs  GS Don  5K    ( days)   (** DIST  placed ?)
   .................................. (100%)
 Castleshane,,.......................................................Form 10-8-1  (19)  sp lto 4/1  Av = 5.7k** , Ab = 5.7k**   Score=6+1
 100%  134C 16f 1/10 7rs**  GF Chp  7K    (38 days)(g)  (Down in dist  + WIN **)    ***DOWN in class from 7K to 5.5k  IMPROVING ***
 41%  77D 11f 8/9 14rs  GF Wdr  5K    (53 days)(g)      (Chk Dist Unpl)
 36%  69D 9f 10/15 13rs  Gd Not  5K    ( days)      (Chk Dist Unpl)
   .................................. (76%)
 Shuhood,,.......................................................Form 1  (1**)  sp lto 5/1  Av = 4k, Ab = 4k  Score=3+2
 33%  79D 7f 1/½L 7rs**  GF Yar  4K    (254 days)(g)   (UP in dist,  + WIN **)    UP in class from 4K to 5.5k,  No improv
 0%  0 0f 0/0  
 0%  0 0f 0/0  
   .................................. (42%)
 Ettrick Water,,.......................................................Form 2-2-17  (14**)  sp lto 14/1  Av = 6.3k**  Ab = 0k  Score=7+3
 19%  18D 10f 17/43 19rs  GS Nmk  10K    (28 days)(c)   (** DIST  lengths)    ***DOWN in class from 10K to 5.5k, BUT chk figures
 42%  80D 9f 2/3 6rs**  GF Ham  5K    (242 days)(g)      (Chk Dist PLACED **)
 37%  88D 8f 2/hd 11rs  GF Yar  4K    ( days)(g)   (UP in dist, PLACED **)
   .................................. (41%)
 Wunderwood,,.......................................................Form 6-1-1  (8**)  sp lto 2/1F  Av = 3.7k, Ab = 4.5k  Score=5+5
 45%  86D 9f 1/¾L 7rs**  GF Not  5K    (21 days)(g)     (Chk Dist  + WIN **)    Same class 5K  IMPROVING ***
 31%  74D 10f 1/2 13rs  St Lin  4K    (132 days)    ** DIST + WIN **
 17%  81H 12f 6/17 22rs  Gd Nby  2K    ( days)  (Down in dist Unpl)
   .................................. (40%)
 Wozzeck,,.......................................................Form 2-2-6  (10**)  sp lto 13/2  Av = 3.3k Ab = 0k  Score=2+3
 17%  55E 10f 6/14 20rs  Gd Wdr  3K    (18 days)   (** DIST  lengths)    UP in class from 3K to 5.5k, BUT chk figures
 35%  83E 7f 2/1 10rs  GS Mus  4K    (205 days)   (UP in dist, PLACED **)
 24%  77E 8f 2/3 13rs  Gd Bat  3K    ( days)   (UP in dist, PLACED **)
   .................................. (32%)  

Eek
as in

Hi all,
I have, like everyone else been reading Nessie's postings and it certainly seems as if he has found the key that works for him.
I would like to ask how do you decide which races to analyse or do you look at them all and then select the one where everything fits?
I'm still mystified as to how you arrive at your percentages but I suppose that will come in time.
As you say this VDW is a goldmine if you get it right, and you seem to get it right more than most at the moment. Congratulations!!!
See you soon, Mike.

quote:

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Originally posted by Swish:
Bio
NO I don't want to fight about it, I want you to buy me another pint!!LOL
Better still get your own logo! I am definetly the most serious drinker on this website. Or are you?
Cheers
Swish

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I would argue with you about the drinking-I am sitting with a newly opened bottle of Stella-lovely after an 11 hr shift

You enjoy it mate!

Morning all,

Has Pricewise got it right with DEMONSTRATE ?